Are there any opportunities for commercial feed under the non - pest and non - resistant situation?
In August 2018, an African swine fever, let China's pig industry suffered unprecedented hit, pig feed, pig farmers also experienced a reshuffle, medium and small farmers out of acceleration, gradually formed a large-scale enterprise occupies half, formed the oligopoly market, feed only the large breed an intermediate link in enterprise or a dragon, commercial sales once reduced, many specializing pig feed enterprises went bankrupt, exit, coupled with the upcoming 2020 feed ban policy, feed of our goods going? Is there any chance for small and medium-sized feed enterprises to survive and develop? In the 16th China Animal And Feed Science and Technology and Economy Forum on December 15, 2019, senior executives from 6 feed enterprises will bring their thoughts to us!
BBS by Dr Jack, deputy director of the national center for biological feed engineering, attend the interaction BBS guests are: agriculture and animal husbandry group chairman YanXueZhong wide-stretching fields, proud farmer group vice chairman Huang Zuyao, hebei FuXuePing surveying of land group chairman, vice President of Beijing kyushu earth group Ma Zhongle, Liu Lei hui group vice President in Asia Pacific and the United States of farmers Wang Yuanlin wei, general manager.
Beijing Kyushu Dadi Group Ma Zhongle vice President of the first entitled "Commercial feed intended? Report, from the environmental impact, the African swine fever, food safety and environmental protection, economic structure and policy four aspects analyzes the factors affecting the development of commercial feed, Ma Zong prediction, commercial feed flow rate has peaked, industry innovation pattern + + products, products have spent the first and second stage of the now is experiencing cost + efficiency of the third stage, although more and more opportunities are concentrated in the hands of big businesses, but the situation is not an opportunity for small and medium-sized enterprises, small and medium-sized enterprises feed overtaking lies in the innovation of the niche of the bend, the biological fermentation for commercial feed, feed It's a good growth opportunity.
The next six guests reviewed the past of commercial feed, summarized the current situation, and made their own comments on the future development.
主题一：Review the past and present of commercial feed!
China's feed industry has made rapid progress in the past 20 years. In terms of the number of feed mills, there were nearly 12,000 in 2006 and 2007, less than 7,000 in 2017 and 1,000-2,000 in the next 5-10 years. In terms of the feed output of various livestock breeds, there are great changes in 2018 compared with 10 years ago. From the perspective of industrial concentration, the share of top 40 feed industry in China does not exceed 20%, and has exceeded 55% this year.
First of all, the role of feed enterprises change, leading change subordinate; Secondly, ASF will accelerate the integration of the feed industry. Asf provides two kinds of enterprises with opportunities. One is a large enterprise, and it is suggested to prepare for the market value management. One is small enterprises, the industry may have a second promotion, is a qualitative improvement.
The feed industry has the highest degree of marketization in agriculture. Now it is facing supply-side reform, stock competition, and more fierce competition in the next few years. It is very important to choose the direction, what resources are available, and at what pace to implement the strategic direction.
The feed format is determined by the breeding format, and the feed output of beef cattle market and special breeding is still increased,The leader's influence on the overall strategic direction is very important; Feed industry will always exist, enterprises and the market fit.
At present, there are more than 900 feed enterprises in Hebei. Although there are no large groups, they are very dynamic. The transformation of larger scale enterprises is very successful.
1、 Feed low speed growth, but will not decline;
2、 Policies and regulations make the industry more and more standardized, which is conducive to the development of the industry;
3、Trend of informationization, automation, intensification and bulk processing of raw materials.
The growth rate of the number of enterprises exceeding 100,000 tons is 13%. In the future, 70-80% of the top50 feed enterprises enter the breeding process, and most of them are mainly commodity feeds.